Recently consumed a few interview videos by top vibe-coding tools founders, all of them said in 3-5 years, every non-coder (7.5 billion people in the world) would be able to make their own softwares and the “coding capabilities” would become commodities only years to count.
It was a blast for me to see this is actually happening… Since 2020 I’ve been stuck with my softwares development because lack of CS/technical skills and domain field confidence to handle the software businesses- also difficulties to rely purely on CTOs for developments. Time advanced to 2025, all of these stumbles find their ways out- We can now have a 2-person team and a bunch of AI-agents to work for us in terms of technical developments for a start first. The cost of softwares were drastically reduced and thanks to the democratization marketing of the AI software development tools- it now giving anyone with intentions to build products knowledge leaps & confidence to get the product out within weeks instead of months or years. The combination of Deepseek/Grok + Cursor/Lovable basically frees up applicable coding capabilities to anyone driven by first-principle thinking & creativity. It wasn’t like that even 6 months ago.
Consider moving the timeline to 2026, 2027, 2028 – say if with the help of these going-to-be vibe-coding unicorns, anyone now posting on Instagram/Wechat Moments/Facebooks, able to launch their softwares to their communities just like posting photos/videos, what paradigm shifts would happen to current softwares offerings? Would people still pay for softwares if it has no barrier of entries besides its codes?
Anyone can be a creator these days but still only 1-5% creators are capturing most of the attentions and grabbing large followers – it does not affect those who have 10K/50K followers still make their living happily across platforms.
What differentiates softwares from softwares are definitely not code itself – it’s always like that – but nowadays this fact is strengthened and AI tools make people like us leapfrog and rethink moat of software businesses before diving into building. And the moat-building mentality should always be there during softwares/business iteration process.
This reminds me of an advice I gave to my younger brother deciding what to major at college at current time – always thinking in combinations, learn CS/AI fundamentals but domain knowledges & passions for physics, cognition science, biology, etc. are what shaping your learning/results different.
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